Max Lazar
RPPhiladelphia Phillies · NL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 8.0 IP · 35 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 516 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
3
+1.7 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (17% confidence).
W-L
0-0
SV
0
IP
8.0
K
5
BB
3
ERA
5.63
WHIP
1.38
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA4.65
xwOBA.331
xBA.242
xSLG.454
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA5.63
wOBA.362
BA.250
SLG.531
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+0.9879
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.03181
BA against vs xBA+.00861
SLG against vs xSLG+.07786
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 35.9%(−19.3) | 94.6lg 94.5 | +0.1 | 5173 | 2443 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
| Splitter | 25.0%(+21.7) | 86.5lg 86.7 | −0.3 | 4541 | 1202 | —lg 3.1 | —lg 11.1 |
| Cutter | 20.3%(+5.0) | 87.7lg 89.5 | −0.6 | 2563 | 2309 | —lg 7.9 | —lg 2.4 |
| Curveball | 18.8%(−7.4) | 82.2lg 80.3 | +1.1 | 6930 | 2495 | —lg -10.3 | —lg 8.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
No movement data for this arsenal (below the pitch-count minimum).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
37
xwOBA Against
37
K%
50
BB%
45
Whiff%
51
FB Velocity
54
Hard-Hit% Against
35
Spin Rate
86
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%