Luis Morales
SPATH · AL · Age 23 · Bats R / Throws R · 9.3 IP · 55 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 535 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
2
+2.1 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: fastball velocity loss (fatigue, mechanics, or health) (13% confidence).
W-L
0-2
SV
0
IP
9.3
K
7
BB
12
ERA
14.46
WHIP
3.11
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA11.29
xwOBA.472
xBA.326
xSLG.620
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA14.46
wOBA.565
BA.405
SLG.833
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+3.1795
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.09397
BA against vs xBA+.07996
SLG against vs xSLG+.21398
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 40.6%(−10.9) | 96.3lg 94.5 | −0.9 | 7872 | 2371 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
| Slider | 19.3%(+11.5) | 84.6lg 86.2 | −1.3 | 2245 | 2820 | —lg 1.5 | —lg 4.1 |
| Sinker | 17.5%(+16.6) | 96.2lg 94.0 | −2.3 | 8238 | 2387 | —lg 8.4 | —lg 15.0 |
| Changeup | 12.3%(−0.7) | 89.2lg 86.6 | −0.6 | 7976 | 1978 | —lg 4.1 | —lg 14.0 |
| Sweeper | 10.4%(−16.4) | 81.2lg 82.5 | −1.1 | 2914 | 2905 | —lg 0.9 | —lg 13.7 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
No movement data for this arsenal (below the pitch-count minimum).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
0
xwOBA Against
0
K%
50
BB%
45
Whiff%
51
FB Velocity
79
Hard-Hit% Against
12
Spin Rate
72
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%