Jorge Polanco

New York Mets · NL · Age 33 · Bats S / Throws R · 87 PA

— NeutralHOLDRank 335 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−10.0 last 7 days

HOLDBalancedProduction matches the underlying process.

Most likely driver: genuine bat-speed decline (strength, health, or age) (28% confidence).

RBI

AVG

.173

OBP

.230

SLG

.259

OPS

.489

DefenseSprint 26.4 ft/s25p

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.212

xSLG.296

xwOBA.251

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.173

SLG.259

wOBA.221

BABIP.203

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA−.03990

SLG vs xSLG−.03775

wOBA vs xwOBA−.03084

BABIP vs xBABIP−.07892

Swing DNA & matchups

2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA

Balanced

No single trait dominates — a league-typical swing shape.

The swing

Bat Speed69.7 mph19 pctl

Swing Length7.2 ft42 pctl

Fast-Swing Rate4.6%16 pctl

Squared-Up Rate29.0%82 pctl

Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.

vs pitch types

Pitch	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	lg xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	RV/100
4-Seam Fastball	26	.158	.243	.327	17.0lg 22.0	15.4	-4.5
Changeup	17	.200	.255	.278	18.8lg 31.5	29.4	-2.7
Sinker	15	.177	.263	.351	11.1lg 13.7	0.0	-5.2

xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	69.7	71.2	−1.5	4	92
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.203	.281	−.078	92	84
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.173	.212	−.039	90	80
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	27.7	37.6	−9.9	13	74
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	3.1	7.6	−4.5	15	69
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	19.7	23.3	−3.6	84	69
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.221	.251	−.030	84	67
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	18.4	15.6	+2.8	22	55
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	31.8	26.9	+4.9	23	55
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.259	.296	−.037	75	49
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	6.9	8.0	−1.1	28	44
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	7.2	7.2	+0.0	46	8
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	84.8	84.8	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	12.2	12.2	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs HOU	W 9-7	0-4	Max EV 91.7 mph
Jul 18	@ AZ	L 2-3	1-5	Max EV 92.5 mph
Jul 17	vs SD	L 1-7	2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI	Max EV 93.8 mph
Jul 15	vs SEA	W 7-5	0-4	Max EV 90.0 mph
Jul 13	@ TOR	L 3-6	0-5	Max EV 88.6 mph
Jul 11	@ CWS	L 1-7	1-3, BB	Max EV 96.8 mph
Jul 10	vs SEA	L 4-9	0-4	Max EV 93.9 mph
Jul 8	vs CIN	L 3-9	0-4	Max EV 96.1 mph
Jul 6	@ CWS	L 0-4	1-3, 2 RBI	Max EV 90.2 mph
Jul 5	vs CIN	L 0-3	1-5, 2 RBI, BB	Max EV 96.2 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

wOBA

xwOBA

lg xwOBA

Whiff%

RV/100

4-Seam Fastball

.158

.243

.327

17.0lg 22.0

15.4

-4.5

Changeup

.200

.255

.278

18.8lg 31.5

29.4

-2.7

Sinker

.177

.263

.351

11.1lg 13.7

0.0

-5.2

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

69.7

71.2

−1.5

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.203

.281

−.078

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.173

.212

−.039

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

27.7

37.6

−9.9

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

3.1

7.6

−4.5

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

19.7

23.3

−3.6

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.221

.251

−.030

K% vs baseline

Discipline

18.4

15.6

+2.8

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

31.8

26.9

+4.9

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.259

.296

−.037

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

6.9

8.0

−1.1

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

7.2

+0.0

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

84.8

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

12.2

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs HOU

W 9-7

0-4

Jul 18

@ AZ

L 2-3

1-5

Jul 17

vs SD

L 1-7

2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Jul 15

vs SEA

W 7-5

0-4

Jul 13

@ TOR

L 3-6

0-5

Jul 11

@ CWS

L 1-7

1-3, BB

Jul 10

vs SEA

L 4-9

0-4

Jul 8

vs CIN

L 3-9

0-4

Jul 6

@ CWS

L 0-4

1-3, 2 RBI

Jul 5

vs CIN

L 0-3

1-5, 2 RBI, BB