Jordan Hicks
RPQualifiedChicago White Sox · AL · Age 29 · Bats R / Throws R · 26.7 IP · 118 BF
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 100 of 614 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
23
+8.0 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (33% confidence).
W-L
0-1
SV
1
IP
26.7
K
30
BB
18
ERA
3.71
WHIP
1.54
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.16
xwOBA.277
xBA.210
xSLG.266
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.71
wOBA.305
BA.237
SLG.320
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+0.5569
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.02880
BA against vs xBA+.02780
SLG against vs xSLG+.05479
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 53.8%(−0.5) | 98.7lg 94.0 | +1.2 | 9746 | 1908 | 7.9"lg 8.4 | 16.8"lg 15.0 |
| Sweeper | 34.7%(+12.0) | 87.2lg 82.5 | +4.7 | 9547 | 2233 | 0.6"lg 0.9 | 6.4"lg 13.7 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 9.1%(−0.2) | 99.2lg 94.5 | +1.8 | 9861 | 2220 | 12.7"lg 15.4 | 12.6"lg 7.8 |
| Splitter | 2.4%(−3.6) | 88.9lg 86.7 | −0.3 | 7569 | 898 | —lg 3.1 | —lg 11.0 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
34 pctl · −2.0° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
85
xwOBA Against
85
K%
77
BB%
5
Whiff%
37
FB Velocity
99
Hard-Hit% Against
92
Spin Rate
28
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%