Joe Ross
RPTexas Rangers · AL · Age 33 · Bats R / Throws R · 11.7 IP · 57 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 535 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
2
+2.1 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (22% confidence).
W-L
0-1
SV
0
IP
11.7
K
7
BB
6
ERA
9.26
WHIP
1.89
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA6.87
xwOBA.391
xBA.307
xSLG.524
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA9.26
wOBA.403
BA.314
SLG.549
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+2.3992
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.01266
BA against vs xBA+.00759
SLG against vs xSLG+.02564
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 28.8%(+6.8) | 89.4lg 86.2 | +2.2 | 9145 | 1935 | —lg 1.5 | —lg 4.1 |
| Sinker | 24.4%(−4.1) | 95.5lg 94.0 | +0.9 | 7384 | 2141 | —lg 8.4 | —lg 15.0 |
| SplitterNEW | 20.5% | 90.4lg 86.7 | — | 8761 | 1479 | —lg 3.1 | —lg 11.1 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 20.0%(−15.6) | 95.2lg 94.5 | +1.0 | 6159 | 2154 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
| Curveball | 6.3%(+0.8) | 83.9lg 80.3 | +0.4 | 8481 | 2100 | —lg -10.3 | —lg 8.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
No movement data for this arsenal (below the pitch-count minimum).
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
41 pctl · +0.5° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
6
xwOBA Against
6
K%
3
BB%
27
Whiff%
85
FB Velocity
63
Hard-Hit% Against
66
Spin Rate
15
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%