Jesse Scholtens
RPQualifiedTampa Bay Rays · AL · Age 32 · Bats R / Throws R · 37.7 IP · 164 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 309 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
9
+9.2 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
5-3
SV
0
IP
37.7
K
30
BB
11
ERA
3.82
WHIP
1.27
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA5.14
xwOBA.346
xBA.271
xSLG.466
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.82
wOBA.337
BA.248
SLG.477
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.3215
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.00938
BA against vs xBA−.02321
SLG against vs xSLG+.01154
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 32.4%(−0.7) | 88.2lg 86.2 | +0.4 | 7862 | 2379 | 7.2"lg 1.5 | 4.3"lg 4.1 |
| SinkerNEW | 24.5% | 92.0lg 94.0 | — | 2015 | 2172 | 12.3"lg 8.4 | 14.8"lg 15.0 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 22.0%(−16.3) | 93.1lg 94.5 | −2.2 | 2621 | 2232 | 17.5"lg 15.4 | 4.8"lg 7.8 |
| Splitter | 11.0%(+5.8) | 84.0lg 86.7 | −0.9 | 1972 | 1019 | 0.6"lg 3.1 | 9.7"lg 11.1 |
| Sweeper | 10.1%(−13.3) | 80.2lg 82.5 | −0.9 | 1983 | 2541 | 0.8"lg 0.9 | 14.3"lg 13.7 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
no prior-season baseline
56 pctl ·
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
26
xwOBA Against
26
K%
22
BB%
82
Whiff%
11
FB Velocity
29
Hard-Hit% Against
61
Spin Rate
31
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%