J.T. Ginn
SPQualifiedATH · AL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 109.3 IP · 457 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 390 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
6
+6.4 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (44% confidence).
W-L
8-6
SV
0
IP
109.3
K
100
BB
49
ERA
3.46
WHIP
1.22
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA4.00
xwOBA.309
xBA.234
xSLG.364
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.46
wOBA.292
BA.211
SLG.346
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.5432
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.01727
BA against vs xBA−.02321
SLG against vs xSLG−.01834
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 33.4%(−18.1) | 93.5lg 94.0 | +0.1 | 3977 | 1982 | 4.0"lg 8.4 | 14.7"lg 15.0 |
| Changeup | 20.3%(+10.9) | 87.9lg 86.6 | −0.6 | 6451 | 1516 | 2.4"lg 4.1 | 11.6"lg 14.0 |
| Cutter | 17.8%(+4.5) | 90.4lg 89.5 | −1.6 | 6173 | 2156 | 6.6"lg 7.9 | 0.2"lg 2.4 |
| Slider | 15.7%(−10.1) | 85.6lg 86.2 | −0.5 | 3527 | 2335 | -2.9"lg 1.5 | 5.7"lg 4.1 |
| 4-Seam FastballNEW | 12.8% | 93.6lg 94.5 | — | 3279 | 2041 | 11.4"lg 15.4 | 4.6"lg 7.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
62 pctl · −2.8° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
59
xwOBA Against
59
K%
42
BB%
26
Whiff%
72
FB Velocity
36
Hard-Hit% Against
77
Spin Rate
4
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%