Hogan Harris
RPQualifiedATH · AL · Age 29 · Bats R / Throws L · 43.7 IP · 200 BF
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 94 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
23
−0.7 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (33% confidence).
W-L
3-0
SV
7
IP
43.7
K
60
BB
28
ERA
3.30
WHIP
1.53
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.39
xwOBA.286
xBA.196
xSLG.297
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.30
wOBA.320
BA.234
SLG.353
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.0950
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.03484
BA against vs xBA+.03886
SLG against vs xSLG+.05680
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 57.8%(+1.1) | 95.1lg 94.5 | +1.6 | 6003 | 2320 | 17.9"lg 15.4 | 8.0"lg 7.8 |
| Curveball | 26.1%(+3.3) | 73.8lg 80.3 | +0.3 | 332 | 2645 | -17.2"lg -10.3 | 7.3"lg 8.8 |
| Slider | 9.2%(+7.6) | 85.6lg 86.2 | +1.2 | 3527 | 2084 | 12.6"lg 1.5 | 3.6"lg 4.1 |
| Changeup | 5.3%(−7.9) | 84.1lg 86.6 | +2.1 | 1841 | 2131 | 12.8"lg 4.1 | 16.5"lg 14.0 |
| Cutter | 1.4%(−1.2) | 92.1lg 89.5 | +3.0 | 8682 | 2278 | —lg 7.9 | —lg 2.4 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
97 pctl · +2.8° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
78
xwOBA Against
78
K%
94
BB%
9
Whiff%
73
FB Velocity
61
Hard-Hit% Against
91
Spin Rate
57
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%