Graham Ashcraft
RPQualifiedCincinnati Reds · NL · Age 28 · Bats L / Throws R · 27.0 IP · 109 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 291 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
10
+9.5 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (28% confidence).
W-L
1-1
SV
1
IP
27.0
K
32
BB
16
ERA
3.33
WHIP
1.22
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.41
xwOBA.287
xBA.197
xSLG.307
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.33
wOBA.278
BA.183
SLG.312
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.0850
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.00938
BA against vs xBA−.01430
SLG against vs xSLG+.00548
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 51.3%(−2.8) | 98.0lg 89.5 | +0.9 | 9946 | 2558 | 12.1"lg 7.9 | 0.7"lg 2.4 |
| Slider | 48.7%(+2.8) | 90.6lg 86.2 | +0.8 | 9715 | 2903 | -0.5"lg 1.5 | 8.0"lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
94 pctl · −0.6° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
77
xwOBA Against
77
K%
91
BB%
7
Whiff%
93
FB Velocity
94
Hard-Hit% Against
68
Spin Rate
96
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%