Cole Henry
RPWashington Nationals · NL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 13.7 IP · 70 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 288 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
10
−1.4 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (20% confidence).
W-L
0-2
SV
0
IP
13.7
K
15
BB
7
ERA
7.90
WHIP
1.76
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA6.17
xwOBA.374
xBA.256
xSLG.478
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA7.90
wOBA.408
BA.288
SLG.542
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+1.7387
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.03484
BA against vs xBA+.03282
SLG against vs xSLG+.06483
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 47.9%(−2.7) | 93.9lg 94.5 | −0.5 | 3659 | 2499 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
| Sweeper | 34.8%(+1.9) | 82.2lg 82.5 | +1.4 | 4534 | 2654 | —lg 0.9 | —lg 13.7 |
| Sinker | 9.9%(−0.2) | 94.2lg 94.0 | −0.3 | 5158 | 2376 | —lg 8.4 | —lg 15.0 |
| Cutter | 7.1%(+3.5) | 91.0lg 89.5 | +3.3 | 7202 | 2523 | —lg 7.9 | —lg 2.4 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
No movement data for this arsenal (below the pitch-count minimum).
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
10 pctl · −1.1° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
11
xwOBA Against
11
K%
38
BB%
21
Whiff%
32
FB Velocity
39
Hard-Hit% Against
33
Spin Rate
92
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%