Chris Martin
RPTexas Rangers · AL · Age 40 · Bats R / Throws R · 14.0 IP · 66 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 397 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
6
−8.7 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (20% confidence).
W-L
1-1
SV
0
IP
14.0
K
9
BB
2
ERA
9.00
WHIP
1.93
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA7.64
xwOBA.408
xBA.344
xSLG.568
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA9.00
wOBA.478
BA.403
SLG.710
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+1.3685
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.07094
BA against vs xBA+.05993
SLG against vs xSLG+.14295
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 41.9%(+5.8) | 91.4lg 89.5 | ±0.0 | 7852 | 2249 | —lg 7.9 | —lg 2.4 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 26.2%(−3.4) | 94.5lg 94.5 | −0.2 | 4862 | 2198 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
| Sinker | 12.1%(−2.3) | 93.9lg 94.0 | −0.4 | 4673 | 2136 | —lg 8.4 | —lg 15.0 |
| Splitter | 9.7%(−8.3) | 87.7lg 86.7 | −0.7 | 6422 | 1502 | —lg 3.1 | —lg 11.1 |
| CurveballNEW | 5.6% | 83.9lg 80.3 | — | 8481 | 2486 | —lg -10.3 | —lg 8.8 |
| Sweeper | 4.4%(+2.5) | 84.2lg 82.5 | −0.3 | 7276 | 2548 | —lg 0.9 | —lg 13.7 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
No movement data for this arsenal (below the pitch-count minimum).
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
66 pctl · +1.0° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
3
xwOBA Against
3
K%
5
BB%
99
Whiff%
2
FB Velocity
51
Hard-Hit% Against
16
Spin Rate
24
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%