Camilo Doval
RPQualifiedNew York Yankees · AL · Age 29 · Bats R / Throws R · 37.0 IP · 165 BF
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 238 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
12
−3.1 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (27% confidence).
W-L
3-1
SV
1
IP
37.0
K
35
BB
15
ERA
4.86
WHIP
1.41
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.56
xwOBA.293
xBA.226
xSLG.348
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA4.86
wOBA.325
BA.261
SLG.430
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+1.3084
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.03282
BA against vs xBA+.03584
SLG against vs xSLG+.08288
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 42.8%(+30.6) | 98.6lg 94.0 | +2.0 | 9694 | 2529 | 3.5"lg 8.4 | 9.8"lg 15.0 |
| Cutter | 29.7%(−10.1) | 98.8lg 89.5 | +0.6 | 9982 | 2554 | 10.8"lg 7.9 | 4.9"lg 2.4 |
| Slider | 24.1%(−23.9) | 88.8lg 86.2 | −0.3 | 8563 | 2670 | -2.9"lg 1.5 | 6.0"lg 4.1 |
| ChangeupNEW | 3.4% | 94.5lg 86.6 | — | 9963 | 1786 | —lg 4.1 | —lg 14.0 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
7 pctl · +2.5° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
72
xwOBA Against
72
K%
38
BB%
55
Whiff%
64
FB Velocity
97
Hard-Hit% Against
5
Spin Rate
94
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%