Cade Horton

Chicago Cubs · NL · Age 24 · Bats R / Throws R · 7.3 IP · 26 BF

— NeutralHOLDRank 279 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−11.0 last 7 days

HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.

No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.

W-L

1-0

7.3

ERA

2.45

WHIP

0.82

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xERA3.31

xwOBA.283

xBA.249

xSLG.321

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

ERA2.45

wOBA.235

BA.167

SLG.292

BABIP.281

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

ERA vs xERA−0.8625

wOBA against vs xwOBA−.0487

BA against vs xBA−.0821

SLG against vs xSLG−.02924

BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
Horiz. Break Horizontal break vs baseline	Movement	9.7	0.1	+9.6	100	100
FB Velo Fastball velo vs baseline	Velocity	88.5	95.7	−7.2	0	100
Spin Rate Spin rate vs baseline	Spin	2251	2485	−234	0	100
xBA BA against vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.167	.249	−.082	1	98
IVB Induced vertical break vs baseline	Movement	5.3	14.5	−9.2	5	90
xwOBA wOBA against vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.235	.283	−.048	7	86
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	9.4	6.9	+2.5	16	68
K% K% vs baseline	Contact	22.2	20.4	+1.8	78	55
xSLG SLG against vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.292	.321	−.029	24	51
xERA ERA vs xERA	Expected vs Actual	2.45	3.31	−0.86	25	50
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	25.3	25.8	−0.5	38	23
Barrel% Barrel% against vs league	Quality of Contact	7.8	7.8	+0.0	46	9
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% against vs league	Quality of Contact	38.8	38.8	+0.0	51	2
xBABIP BABIP against vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.281	.281	+.000	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs CWS	L 5-8	5.2 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 87.9 mph
Jul 14	vs SF	W 5-0	6.2 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 88.7 mph
Jul 10	@ HOU	L 3-5	5.2 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 87.9 mph
Jul 4	vs TEX	W 5-4	6.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 3 BB	Avg FB 89.1 mph
Jun 29	@ TOR	L 0-3	7.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 K, 4 BB	Avg FB 90.2 mph
Jun 23	vs CWS	W 3-2	5.2 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 88.9 mph
Jun 17	vs MIN	W 4-1	6.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 3 BB	Avg FB 88.9 mph
Jun 12	@ STL	W 4-1	4.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 88.9 mph
Jun 8	vs MIN	W 9-6	4.2 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 87.2 mph
Jun 3	@ TB	L 0-9	6.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 3 BB	Avg FB 87.8 mph

Percentile rankings

xERA

xwOBA Against

BB%

Whiff%

FB Velocity

Hard-Hit% Against

Spin Rate

30-day rolling trends

Rolling ERA vs xERA

ERAxERA

Rolling Hard-Hit% Against

Rolling FB Velocity

Rolling Stuff Index

Rolling Whiff%

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

Horiz. Break

Horizontal break vs baseline

Movement

9.7

0.1

+9.6

100

FB Velo

Fastball velo vs baseline

Velocity

88.5

95.7

−7.2

100

Spin Rate

Spin rate vs baseline

Spin

2251

2485

−234

100

xBA

BA against vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.167

.249

−.082

IVB

Induced vertical break vs baseline

Movement

5.3

14.5

−9.2

xwOBA

wOBA against vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.235

.283

−.048

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

9.4

6.9

+2.5

K% vs baseline

Contact

22.2

20.4

+1.8

xSLG

SLG against vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.292

.321

−.029

xERA

ERA vs xERA

Expected vs Actual

2.45

3.31

−0.86

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

25.3

25.8

−0.5

Barrel%

Barrel% against vs league

Quality of Contact

7.8

+0.0

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% against vs league

Quality of Contact

38.8

+0.0

xBABIP

BABIP against vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.281

+.000

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs CWS

L 5-8

5.2 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

Jul 14

vs SF

W 5-0

6.2 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

Jul 10

@ HOU

L 3-5

5.2 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

Jul 4

vs TEX

W 5-4

6.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 3 BB

Jun 29

@ TOR

L 0-3

7.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 K, 4 BB

Jun 23

vs CWS

W 3-2

5.2 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

Jun 17

vs MIN

W 4-1

6.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 3 BB

Jun 12

@ STL

W 4-1

4.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 1 BB

Jun 8

vs MIN

W 9-6

4.2 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 1 BB

Jun 3

@ TB

L 0-9

6.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 3 BB