Brennan Bernardino
RPQualifiedColorado Rockies · NL · Age 34 · Bats L / Throws L · 40.3 IP · 172 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 413 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
6
−0.1 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: arm slot dropped — deliberate change or mechanical compensation (28% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle −4.7°.
W-L
3-3
SV
1
IP
40.3
K
30
BB
12
ERA
2.90
WHIP
1.26
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA4.11
xwOBA.313
xBA.269
xSLG.387
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA2.90
wOBA.299
BA.255
SLG.366
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.2117
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.01430
BA against vs xBA−.01430
SLG against vs xSLG−.02132
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 42.0%(−2.5) | 90.2lg 94.0 | −0.5 | 622 | 2192 | 3.7"lg 8.4 | 13.5"lg 15.0 |
| Curveball | 30.9%(+4.6) | 77.9lg 80.3 | −1.3 | 2437 | 2665 | 0.2"lg -10.3 | 12.6"lg 8.8 |
| Cutter | 11.6%(−0.8) | 86.3lg 89.5 | −0.2 | 993 | 2328 | 5.7"lg 7.9 | 0.3"lg 2.4 |
| Changeup | 7.8%(−4.7) | 80.5lg 86.6 | +0.7 | 451 | 1468 | 0.5"lg 4.1 | 12.2"lg 14.0 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 6.3%(+6.1) | 90.5lg 94.5 | −2.1 | 337 | 2148 | 9.5"lg 15.4 | 8.9"lg 7.8 |
| Sweeper | 1.4% | 79.2lg 82.5 | — | 1155 | 2429 | —lg 0.9 | —lg 13.7 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle −4.7°
Arm slot
4 pctl · −4.7° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
56
xwOBA Against
56
K%
17
BB%
80
Whiff%
24
FB Velocity
7
Hard-Hit% Against
93
Spin Rate
14
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%