Brant Hurter
RPQualifiedDetroit Tigers · AL · Age 27 · Bats L / Throws L · 25.3 IP · 101 BF
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 156 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
17
+3.0 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (26% confidence).
W-L
4-1
SV
0
IP
25.3
K
18
BB
12
ERA
2.84
WHIP
1.07
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.86
xwOBA.304
xBA.235
xSLG.332
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA2.84
wOBA.250
BA.174
SLG.267
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.0221
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.0545
BA against vs xBA−.0613
SLG against vs xSLG−.06510
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 57.8%(+5.3) | 92.2lg 94.0 | −0.1 | 2300 | 2056 | 2.1"lg 8.4 | 16.3"lg 15.0 |
| Sweeper | 26.9%(−4.7) | 81.8lg 82.5 | −0.4 | 3862 | 2650 | 1.7"lg 0.9 | 12.9"lg 13.7 |
| Changeup | 11.1%(+0.5) | 87.7lg 86.6 | +1.9 | 6317 | 1647 | -0.1"lg 4.1 | 15.2"lg 14.0 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 4.2%(−1.1) | 92.1lg 94.5 | ±0.0 | 1401 | 2076 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
23 pctl · +0.5° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
64
xwOBA Against
64
K%
20
BB%
18
Whiff%
15
FB Velocity
17
Hard-Hit% Against
84
Spin Rate
5
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%