Blake Treinen

RPQualified

Los Angeles Dodgers · NL · Age 38 · Bats R / Throws R · 23.0 IP · 100 BF

— NeutralHOLDRank 313 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

+0.4 last 7 days

HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.

No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.

W-L

4-1

23.0

ERA

3.52

WHIP

1.35

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xERA5.21

xwOBA.348

xBA.261

xSLG.475

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

ERA3.52

wOBA.311

BA.239

SLG.398

BABIP.281

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

ERA vs xERA−1.699

wOBA against vs xwOBA−.03712

BA against vs xBA−.02222

SLG against vs xSLG−.0778

BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050

Arsenal & pitch shapes

2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective

Pitch	Usage	Velo	vs 2025	Velo pctl	Spin	IVB	HB
Sweeper	41.7%(−5.5)	83.8lg 82.5	−0.6	6707	2543	-0.7"lg 0.9	13.2"lg 13.7
Sinker	36.9%(+7.2)	95.0lg 94.0	−0.9	6540	2274	5.4"lg 8.4	17.5"lg 15.0
4-Seam Fastball	11.5%(−0.4)	94.6lg 94.5	−0.6	5173	2307	14.5"lg 15.4	10.0"lg 7.8
Cutter	9.4%(−1.8)	91.0lg 89.5	−0.6	7202	2460	9.4"lg 7.9	0.3"lg 2.4

IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.

Mechanics Watch

2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average

No mechanical changes detected

Arm slot

32 pctl · −0.1° vs prior

What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
Spin Rate Spin rate vs baseline	Spin	2307	2464	−157	1	97
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	10.0	14.7	−4.7	97	93
Barrel% Barrel% against vs league	Quality of Contact	12.5	7.8	+4.7	7	87
xSLG SLG against vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.398	.475	−.077	8	84
xERA ERA vs xERA	Expected vs Actual	3.52	5.21	−1.69	9	81
xwOBA wOBA against vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.311	.348	−.037	12	77
IVB Induced vertical break vs baseline	Movement	14.5	14.0	+0.5	87	74
Horiz. Break Horizontal break vs baseline	Movement	10.0	9.4	+0.6	83	66
FB Velo Fastball velo vs baseline	Velocity	94.6	95.2	−0.6	20	60
xBA BA against vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.239	.261	−.022	22	56
K% K% vs baseline	Contact	25.0	27.9	−2.9	26	49
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% against vs league	Quality of Contact	42.2	38.8	+3.4	28	44
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	25.7	25.6	+0.1	68	37
xBABIP BABIP against vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.281	.281	+.000	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs LAA	W 4-2	1.1 IP, 2 ER, 1 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 94.6 mph
Jul 17	vs LAA	L 0-10	0.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 95.1 mph
Jul 16	vs CWS	L 2-8	0.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 94.9 mph
Jul 14	@ CHC	L 5-10	1.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 94.6 mph
Jul 12	vs BAL	L 1-6	1.1 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 95.2 mph
Jul 9	@ WSH	W 9-4	1.1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 94.8 mph
Jul 7	vs STL	L 4-6	2.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 94.6 mph
Jul 5	@ WSH	W 8-7	0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 94.4 mph
Jul 4	vs CIN	L 0-10	2.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 94.8 mph
Jul 1	vs BAL	W 6-0	1.0 IP, 1 ER, 0 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 94.6 mph

Percentile rankings

xERA

xwOBA Against

BB%

Whiff%

FB Velocity

Hard-Hit% Against

Spin Rate

30-day rolling trends

Rolling ERA vs xERA

ERAxERA

Rolling Hard-Hit% Against

Rolling FB Velocity

Rolling Stuff Index

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

Usage

Velo

vs 2025

Velo pctl

Spin

IVB

Sweeper

41.7%(−5.5)

83.8lg 82.5

−0.6

6707

2543

-0.7"lg 0.9

13.2"lg 13.7

Sinker

36.9%(+7.2)

95.0lg 94.0

−0.9

6540

2274

5.4"lg 8.4

17.5"lg 15.0

4-Seam Fastball

11.5%(−0.4)

94.6lg 94.5

−0.6

5173

2307

14.5"lg 15.4

10.0"lg 7.8

Cutter

9.4%(−1.8)

91.0lg 89.5

−0.6

7202

2460

9.4"lg 7.9

0.3"lg 2.4

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

Spin Rate

Spin rate vs baseline

Spin

2307

2464

−157

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

10.0

14.7

−4.7

Barrel%

Barrel% against vs league

Quality of Contact

12.5

7.8

+4.7

xSLG

SLG against vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.398

.475

−.077

xERA

ERA vs xERA

Expected vs Actual

3.52

5.21

−1.69

xwOBA

wOBA against vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.311

.348

−.037

IVB

Induced vertical break vs baseline

Movement

14.5

14.0

+0.5

Horiz. Break

Horizontal break vs baseline

Movement

10.0

9.4

+0.6

FB Velo

Fastball velo vs baseline

Velocity

94.6

95.2

−0.6

xBA

BA against vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.239

.261

−.022

K% vs baseline

Contact

25.0

27.9

−2.9

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% against vs league

Quality of Contact

42.2

38.8

+3.4

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

25.7

25.6

+0.1

xBABIP

BABIP against vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.281

+.000

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs LAA

W 4-2

1.1 IP, 2 ER, 1 K, 0 BB

Jul 17

vs LAA

L 0-10

0.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB

Jul 16

vs CWS

L 2-8

0.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB

Jul 14

@ CHC

L 5-10

1.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB

Jul 12

vs BAL

L 1-6

1.1 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 1 BB

Jul 9

@ WSH

W 9-4

1.1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB

Jul 7

vs STL

L 4-6

2.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 K, 1 BB

Jul 5

@ WSH

W 8-7

0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 1 BB

Jul 4

vs CIN

L 0-10

2.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 2 BB

Jul 1

vs BAL

W 6-0

1.0 IP, 1 ER, 0 K, 0 BB