Anthony Molina

Atlanta Braves · NL · Age 24 · Bats R / Throws R · 5.0 IP · 21 BF

— NeutralHOLDRank 500 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−1.8 last 7 days

HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.

No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.

W-L

0-0

5.0

ERA

5.40

WHIP

1.40

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xERA5.64

xwOBA.360

xBA.298

xSLG.505

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

ERA5.40

wOBA.342

BA.300

SLG.450

BABIP.281

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

ERA vs xERA−0.2444

wOBA against vs xwOBA−.01827

BA against vs xBA+.00253

SLG against vs xSLG−.05514

BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
FB Velo Fastball velo vs baseline	Velocity	88.5	95.6	−7.1	0	99
Spin Rate Spin rate vs baseline	Spin	2251	2168	+83	97	93
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	9.4	3.8	+5.6	4	92
IVB Induced vertical break vs baseline	Movement	5.3	15.1	−9.8	4	92
Horiz. Break Horizontal break vs baseline	Movement	9.7	7.1	+2.6	95	90
K% K% vs baseline	Contact	22.2	15.0	+7.2	94	88
xSLG SLG against vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.450	.505	−.055	14	73
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	25.3	24.2	+1.1	74	47
xwOBA wOBA against vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.342	.360	−.018	27	46
xERA ERA vs xERA	Expected vs Actual	5.40	5.64	−0.24	44	12
Barrel% Barrel% against vs league	Quality of Contact	7.8	7.8	+0.0	46	9
xBA BA against vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.300	.298	+.002	53	6
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% against vs league	Quality of Contact	38.8	38.8	+0.0	51	2
xBABIP BABIP against vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.281	.281	+.000	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs TB	L 4-6	1.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 88.8 mph
Jul 17	vs BAL	W 6-5	1.2 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 88.8 mph
Jul 15	@ LAD	W 8-6	1.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 89.0 mph
Jul 13	vs LAD	W 9-4	1.1 IP, 1 ER, 0 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 88.1 mph
Jul 11	@ TEX	L 4-9	0.2 IP, 5 ER, 1 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 88.9 mph
Jul 8	vs MIA	L 5-7	1.1 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 88.4 mph
Jul 5	vs WSH	W 7-5	0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 87.8 mph
Jul 3	@ CLE	W 8-3	0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 88.6 mph
Jul 2	@ PIT	L 4-10	1.1 IP, 2 ER, 2 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 88.3 mph
Jun 29	@ WSH	W 3-0	1.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 87.8 mph

Percentile rankings

xERA

xwOBA Against

BB%

Whiff%

FB Velocity

Hard-Hit% Against

Spin Rate

30-day rolling trends

Rolling ERA vs xERA

ERAxERA

Rolling Hard-Hit% Against

Rolling FB Velocity

Rolling Stuff Index

Rolling Whiff%

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

FB Velo

Fastball velo vs baseline

Velocity

88.5

95.6

−7.1

Spin Rate

Spin rate vs baseline

Spin

2251

2168

+83

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

9.4

3.8

+5.6

IVB

Induced vertical break vs baseline

Movement

5.3

15.1

−9.8

Horiz. Break

Horizontal break vs baseline

Movement

9.7

7.1

+2.6

K% vs baseline

Contact

22.2

15.0

+7.2

xSLG

SLG against vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.450

.505

−.055

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

25.3

24.2

+1.1

xwOBA

wOBA against vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.342

.360

−.018

xERA

ERA vs xERA

Expected vs Actual

5.40

5.64

−0.24

Barrel%

Barrel% against vs league

Quality of Contact

7.8

+0.0

xBA

BA against vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.300

.298

+.002

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% against vs league

Quality of Contact

38.8

+0.0

xBABIP

BABIP against vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.281

+.000

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs TB

L 4-6

1.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB

Jul 17

vs BAL

W 6-5

1.2 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 0 BB

Jul 15

@ LAD

W 8-6

1.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB

Jul 13

vs LAD

W 9-4

1.1 IP, 1 ER, 0 K, 0 BB

Jul 11

@ TEX

L 4-9

0.2 IP, 5 ER, 1 K, 0 BB

Jul 8

vs MIA

L 5-7

1.1 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 1 BB

Jul 5

vs WSH

W 7-5

0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB

Jul 3

@ CLE

W 8-3

0.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 1 BB

Jul 2

@ PIT

L 4-10

1.1 IP, 2 ER, 2 K, 1 BB

Jun 29

@ WSH

W 3-0

1.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 1 BB