Alejandro Kirk

Toronto Blue Jays · AL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 111 PA

— NeutralHOLDRank 380 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−9.7 last 7 days

HOLDBalancedProduction matches the underlying process.

Most likely driver: genuine bat-speed decline (strength, health, or age) (32% confidence).

111

RBI

AVG

.204

OBP

.288

SLG

.306

OPS

.594

DefenseSprint 22.9 ft/s0p

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.223

xSLG.304

xwOBA.269

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.204

SLG.306

wOBA.262

BABIP.217

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA−.01974

SLG vs xSLG+.00251

wOBA vs xwOBA−.00758

BABIP vs xBABIP−.06490

Swing DNA & matchups

2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA

Balanced

No single trait dominates — a league-typical swing shape.

The swing

Bat Speed70.9 mph36 pctl

Swing Length7.2 ft35 pctl

Fast-Swing Rate12.3%36 pctl

Squared-Up Rate32.5%92 pctl

Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.

vs pitch types

Pitch	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	lg xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	RV/100
Sinker	28	.389	.297	.351	9.3lg 13.7	3.6	0.7
4-Seam Fastball	16	.244	.283	.327	24.3lg 22.0	31.3	-1.4
Slider	17	.224	.261	.288	25.0lg 33.5	11.8	-1.9
Cutter	15	.140	.233	.351	5.3lg 22.5	0.0	-7.1
Sweeper	12	.167	.118	.263	23.5lg 31.0	25.0	-1.8
Changeup	10	.215	.264	.278	28.6lg 31.5	10.0	-0.2

xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	70.9	72.5	−1.7	4	93
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.217	.281	−.064	90	81
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	2.4	7.6	−5.2	10	80
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.204	.223	−.019	74	48
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	7.2	7.2	−0.0	71	43
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	10.8	9.5	+1.3	66	31
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	12.6	11.7	+0.9	37	27
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	19.1	18.5	+0.6	39	23
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.262	.269	−.007	58	16
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	29.5	29.1	+0.4	58	15
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	37.6	37.6	−0.0	45	11
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.306	.304	+.002	51	3
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	86.8	86.8	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	10.4	10.4	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs TEX	L 4-5	1-4, 1 RBI	Max EV 94.5 mph
Jul 19	vs LAA	L 2-5	2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI	Max EV 94.9 mph
Jul 17	@ HOU	W 9-5	0-5, BB	Max EV 97.2 mph
Jul 15	vs DET	W 3-0	0-5	Max EV 99.6 mph
Jul 14	vs MIL	L 5-7	1-5, 2 RBI	Max EV 92.5 mph
Jul 13	@ WSH	W 3-2	0-4	Max EV 95.8 mph
Jul 11	@ PIT	L 0-6	1-3	Max EV 94.6 mph
Jul 10	vs DET	L 1-10	0-3	Max EV 93.2 mph
Jul 9	vs NYM	W 7-6	2-5	Max EV 96.4 mph
Jul 8	@ CLE	W 6-2	0-5, BB	Max EV 89.5 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

wOBA

xwOBA

lg xwOBA

Whiff%

RV/100

Sinker

.389

.297

.351

9.3lg 13.7

3.6

0.7

4-Seam Fastball

.244

.283

.327

24.3lg 22.0

31.3

-1.4

Slider

.224

.261

.288

25.0lg 33.5

11.8

-1.9

Cutter

.140

.233

.351

5.3lg 22.5

0.0

-7.1

Sweeper

.167

.118

.263

23.5lg 31.0

25.0

-1.8

Changeup

.215

.264

.278

28.6lg 31.5

10.0

-0.2

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

70.9

72.5

−1.7

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.217

.281

−.064

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

2.4

7.6

−5.2

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.204

.223

−.019

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

7.2

−0.0

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

10.8

9.5

+1.3

K% vs baseline

Discipline

12.6

11.7

+0.9

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

19.1

18.5

+0.6

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.262

.269

−.007

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

29.5

29.1

+0.4

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

37.6

−0.0

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.306

.304

+.002

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

86.8

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

10.4

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs TEX

L 4-5

1-4, 1 RBI

Jul 19

vs LAA

L 2-5

2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Jul 17

@ HOU

W 9-5

0-5, BB

Jul 15

vs DET

W 3-0

0-5

Jul 14

vs MIL

L 5-7

1-5, 2 RBI

Jul 13

@ WSH

W 3-2

0-4

Jul 11

@ PIT

L 0-6

1-3

Jul 10

vs DET

L 1-10

0-3

Jul 9

vs NYM

W 7-6

2-5

Jul 8

@ CLE

W 6-2

0-5, BB