Albert Suárez
RPQualifiedBaltimore Orioles · AL · Age 36 · Bats R / Throws R · 40.7 IP · 167 BF
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 148 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
18
+13.2 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (30% confidence).
W-L
2-0
SV
1
IP
40.7
K
28
BB
13
ERA
3.54
WHIP
1.20
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA4.56
xwOBA.328
xBA.256
xSLG.436
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.54
wOBA.320
BA.235
SLG.451
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.0221
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.00839
BA against vs xBA−.02123
SLG against vs xSLG+.01557
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 53.3%(+9.9) | 93.5lg 94.5 | −0.3 | 3131 | 2304 | 16.9"lg 15.4 | 5.3"lg 7.8 |
| Cutter | 20.5%(+0.8) | 85.5lg 89.5 | −0.7 | 650 | 2160 | 8.9"lg 7.9 | 2.3"lg 2.4 |
| Changeup | 18.3%(+7.3) | 84.8lg 86.6 | −0.9 | 2439 | 2017 | 8.3"lg 4.1 | 16.8"lg 14.0 |
| Curveball | 7.7%(−5.6) | 77.8lg 80.3 | −2.2 | 2310 | 2278 | -6.7"lg -10.3 | 6.1"lg 8.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
66 pctl · +1.8° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
41
xwOBA Against
41
K%
15
BB%
70
Whiff%
38
FB Velocity
34
Hard-Hit% Against
40
Spin Rate
52
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%