Alan Roden

Minnesota Twins · AL · Age 26 · Bats L / Throws R · 25 PA

↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 179 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

+4.9 last 7 days

HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.

No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.

RBI

AVG

.190

OBP

.280

SLG

.190

OPS

.470

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.267

xSLG.447

xwOBA.351

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.190

SLG.190

wOBA.226

BABIP.222

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA−.07798

SLG vs xSLG−.257100

wOBA vs xwOBA−.125100

BABIP vs xBABIP−.05989

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.190	.447	−.257	100	99
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.226	.351	−.125	100	99
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.190	.267	−.077	98	96
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	12.0	5.2	+6.8	97	94
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	27.8	32.8	−5.0	96	92
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	16.0	24.2	−8.2	95	89
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	71.9	70.1	+1.8	94	88
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.222	.281	−.059	89	77
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	7.3	7.2	+0.1	16	69
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	20.9	23.8	−2.9	80	60
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	7.6	7.6	+0.0	54	7
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	37.7	37.6	+0.0	48	5
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	88.5	88.5	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	13.8	13.8	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	@ DET	W 4-0	0-5, BB	Max EV 98.3 mph
Jul 18	@ CIN	L 2-4	1-4, 1 RBI, BB	Max EV 98.2 mph
Jul 16	vs PHI	W 4-0	2-5	Max EV 93.7 mph
Jul 15	vs BAL	W 6-0	2-5	Max EV 99.8 mph
Jul 14	vs PIT	W 4-2	2-4	Max EV 94.4 mph
Jul 12	@ TB	L 4-9	1-4	Max EV 94.4 mph
Jul 11	@ OAK	W 6-3	0-4	Max EV 96.2 mph
Jul 9	vs BAL	W 8-2	1-5, BB	Max EV 89.1 mph
Jul 7	@ DET	L 1-2	0-4	Max EV 97.6 mph
Jul 5	vs CHC	W 4-2	1-4	Max EV 94.8 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.190

.447

−.257

100

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.226

.351

−.125

100

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.190

.267

−.077

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

12.0

5.2

+6.8

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

27.8

32.8

−5.0

K% vs baseline

Discipline

16.0

24.2

−8.2

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

71.9

70.1

+1.8

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.222

.281

−.059

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

7.3

7.2

+0.1

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

20.9

23.8

−2.9

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

7.6

+0.0

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

37.7

37.6

+0.0

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

88.5

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

13.8

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

@ DET

W 4-0

0-5, BB

Jul 18

@ CIN

L 2-4

1-4, 1 RBI, BB

Jul 16

vs PHI

W 4-0

2-5

Jul 15

vs BAL

W 6-0

2-5

Jul 14

vs PIT

W 4-2

2-4

Jul 12

@ TB

L 4-9

1-4

Jul 11

@ OAK

W 6-3

0-4

Jul 9

vs BAL

W 8-2

1-5, BB

Jul 7

@ DET

L 1-2

0-4

Jul 5

vs CHC

W 4-2

1-4